Ken Shamrock is the only man Ortiz has finished in years. Don’t look for this trend to change. Ken has shown evidence of becoming chinny in his last couple of fights, and doesn’t have any skill that can be a threat from Ortiz aside from mediocre boxing. Unless tito gets retarded and eats a shot, Ken is going to be hurt badly, again. Tito TKO Round 2.

Chris Price has a nice record, but Kendall Grove has fought better opposition and is being set up to win. Kendall should wrestle him to the ground from the clinch, and submit him there. Grove by sub round 1.

Jason McDonald is in over his head vs. Ed Herman. Jason has had a lot of fights and is a solid fighter, but he doesn’t have what it takes to be a top-tier competitor. Ed is going to grind him down with slow gnp, until he either rolls into the RNC, or the fight has to be stopped. Herman submission round 1.

Matt Hamill is a monster. His physical strength is exceeded only by his wrestling ability, so he is getting the takedown in his fight with Seth Petruzelli. However, seth has dealt with being on the bottom, having fought much larger men for most of his career. His striking is also light-years ahead of anything Matt has shown. Matt is such a developing talent, it’s dangerous to assume anything about what abilities he has now, but I have to go with what he’s shown. If Seth can avoid brutal GnP early in the fight, he should be able to wear Matt down on his feet and eventually drop him. Petruzelli by KO in the 2nd.

Nathan Marquardt is a methodical technical fighter who has submitted almost half of his opponents, and has been in with the best. Crafton Wallace has rarely been outside of the first round, and both of his losses come from submissions. Do the math. Marquardt by submission round 2.

Dustin Hazelett and Tony DeSouza should put on an exciting grappling show. In such cases, it’s good form to bet on the brazillian. DeSouza by sub round 2.

Rory Singer and Josh Haynes are both limited fighters, but they should put on an exciting fight. I expect Haynes’ brawling and toughness to make this a hard night for Rory, with him losing to accumulated damage and gas in the second. Haynes by TKO in the 2nd.

After hiding behind his jab for 3 roudns vs. Diego Sanchez, Alessio is going to have to step up his game to beat Thiago Alves. With his wrestling and jab, he should be able to do it. Alessio by submission round 2, after hurting him with punches.

Forrest Petz nearly killed Sam Morgan at the last UFN, but seemed to lack the aggression or fear the ground so much that he would not move in and finish. He should be able to correct that this time around, as Davis is not a world-beater, although he’s been very active this year. Petz by KO round 2.

“Lock” Order – Most certain outcomes, in decreasing order of certainty
Tito TKO Shamrock Round 2 (Sorry Ken)
Marquardt Submits Wallace round 2
Ed Herman submits McDonald round 1
Kendall Grove submits Chris Price round 1
Petruzelli KO’s Hamill round 2
Petz KO’s Davis round 2
Haynes TKO’s Singer round 2
Alessio submits Alves round 2
DeSouza submits Hazelett round 2